Blair
Federal electorate · Queensland
Named in honour of Harold Blair AM, 1924–76, the noted tenor, in recognition of his work for Aboriginal advancement and service to the arts. Mr Blair established the Aboriginal Children's Holiday Project and was a member of the the Aborigines' Welfare Board in Victoria (1957–58) and the Aborigines Advancement League, the Federal Council for the Advancement of Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, and the Commonwealth Aboriginal Arts Board.
Covers: The Division of Blair consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, part of the Scenic Rim Regional Council, and part of the Somerset Regional Council.
| Enrolled voters | 142,006 |
|---|---|
| Area | 6,472 sq km |
| Demographic rating | Provincial – outside capital cities, but with a majority of enrolment in major provincial cities |
| Established | 10 Dec 1997 |
| Name first used | 1998 federal election |
| Boundary gazetted | 27 March 2018 |
Current member
2025 federal election: two-candidate preferred
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann ✓ | Australian Labor Party | 65,156 | 55.71 | +0.48 |
| Carl Mutzelburg | LNP | 51,797 | 44.29 | -0.48 |
2025 federal election: first preferences
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann ✓ | Australian Labor Party | 42,825 | 36.62 | +1.61 |
| Carl Mutzelburg | LNP | 31,797 | 27.19 | -1.70 |
| Paul Toner | The Greens | 12,104 | 10.35 | -2.23 |
| Brendan Kross | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 11,344 | 9.70 | -0.29 |
| Anthony Hopkins | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,353 | 4.58 | +4.58 |
| Kathryn Chadwick | Gerard Rennick People First | 4,421 | 3.78 | +3.78 |
| Edward McDonald | Trumpet of Patriots | 3,769 | 3.22 | +3.22 |
| John Frederick Purdon | Family First | 2,334 | 2.00 | +2.00 |
| Angela Lowery | Animal Justice Party | 1,874 | 1.60 | -0.86 |
| Anthony Bull | Libertarian | 1,132 | 0.97 | +0.97 |
| Informal ballots | 8,219 | 6.57 | +1.27 | |
Candidate percentages are of formal votes; the informal share is of all ballots cast.
Results at each election
| Election | Elected | Party | Two-candidate % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 federal election | Shayne Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 55.71 |
| 2022 federal election | Shayne Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 55.23 |
| 2019 federal election | Shayne Kenneth Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 51.21 |
| 2016 federal election | Shayne Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 58.88 |
| 2013 federal election | Shayne Kenneth Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 55.26 |
| 2010 federal election | Shayne Kenneth Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 54.24 |
| 2007 federal election | Shayne Kenneth Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 54.48 |
| 2004 federal election | Cameron Thompson | Liberal | 61.21 |
Every contest for a division of this name since 2004, each on the boundaries in force at the time. The two-candidate figure is the winner's share of the final count.
Election figures and profile © Commonwealth of Australia (AEC), CC BY 4.0. Date established from the Parliamentary Handbook. ✓ marks the elected candidate.